انجمن جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی ایرانتوسعه فضاهای پیراشهری2676-41646420241121Investigating and analyzing the spatial distribution pattern of the covid-19 epidemic in peri-urban areas
(Case study: Central part of Mashhad county)بررسی و تحلیل الگوی پخش فضایی همهگیری کووید-19 در نواحی پیراشهری(مطالعه موردی: بخش مرکزی شهرستان مشهد)12420221410.22034/jpusd.2024.456119.1307FAحانیهمعیریانکارشناسی ارشد، گروه جغرافیا، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران.مریمقاسمیاستادیار، گروه جغرافیا، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران.مصطفیامیرفخریاناستادیار، گروه جغرافیا، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران.Journal Article20240507In order to control epidemics, it is necessary to check the geographical distribution of the incidence and mortality rate and the factors affecting it. This review can influence public health policies aimed at controlling the virus. Since Covid-19 is an emerging and serious infectious disease, the analysis of the spatial distribution pattern of the epidemic is necessary, especially in rural and peri-urban areas, and it can help to prioritize places for targeted interventions, rapid testing and allocation of resources in facing the situation. Similar things will help in the future. The research method is descriptive, analytical and of the type of applied research. The statistical population is 66 villages with health care centers in the vicinity of Mashhad metropolis in the central part of Mashhad city. The period under investigation is from the beginning of the epidemic to October 1401, that is, the end of the seventh wave of the epidemic. During the study period, the rate of infection with Covid-19 for each village was entered into ArcGIS software, processed and the spatial distribution pattern of the epidemic was analyzed by point density analysis. Also, the ellipse techniques of standard distance and standard deviation were used to evaluate the density or dispersion of infected people and to determine the spatial distribution pattern of Covid-19. In order to identify the spatial distribution pattern of the epidemic, Moran's spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed. The results of the spatial analysis showed that by moving away from the metropolis of Mashhad, the density of people infected with Covid-19 in the rural areas decreased. Therefore, the most important factor in the spatial spread of the corona virus in the villages of the central part is the distance and proximity to the city of Mashhad, and it follows Hagerstrand's model of spatial diffusion. Also, with the increase in the density of the rural population and the increase in the number of workers in the service and industry sectors, the incidence of Covid-19 has increased. Moran's coefficient equal to 1.52, with Z-Score equal to 17.19 shows that the pattern of spatial distribution of patients with Covid-19 in the rural areas of the central part is clustered. The results of the study will enable government agencies, policy makers, and health care professionals to make informed decisions to control epidemics and address future infectious diseases. Qualitative data-based studies are needed to further clarify the role of social and economic determinants of health in the outbreak of Covid-19.The results of the spatial analysis show that the density of the number of patients decreases by moving away from the city of Mashhad. The highest density of covid-19 infection is observed in the southern areas of the central part and the neighboring villages of Mashhad metropolis. Also, with the increase in rural population density, the increase in service and industry workers, the number of people infected with Covid-19 will increase. Moran's coefficient equal to 1.52, z-score equal to 17.19 and P-value equal to 0.00 show that the spatial distribution pattern of covid-19 patients in the rural areas of the central part is clustered. It seems that gender affects the spatial distribution of covid-19 patients to some extent. The most important geographical factor of the spread of Covid-19 in the rural areas of the central part is the distance and proximity of the villages affected by this disease, and it follows the pattern of spatial diffusion.The results of the present research are similar to the results of the research of Sidiq Purwoko et al., 2023, which shows that the cases of Covid-19 in Central Java province follow a cluster pattern. Also, with the results of Rahnama and Bazargan's research, 1401, which shows that the spatial distribution of Covid-19 on March 3, 1998 follows a random pattern and on April 3, 1999, a cluster pattern, and the most important geographical factor of the spread of the corona virus in the country, The distance and spatial proximity of the provinces involved in this disease and it follows the pattern of spatial spread is similar.<br /><br />In conclusion, considering that the spatial distribution of Covid-19 cases in rural areas is affected by the complex interaction of socio-spatial factors, including road networks, functional areas, socio-economic factors and urban facilities, it is suggested to those interested in research in this field to Pay more attention to these factors. Understanding these factors can provide valuable insights for policymakers and researchers working to combat the epidemic.<strong>برای کنترل اپیدمیها ضروری است توزیع جغرافیائى میزان ابتلا و مرگومیر و عوامل مؤثر بر آن بررسی شود. این بررسی میتواند بر سیاستهای بهداشت عمومی باهدف کنترل ویروس تأثیرگذار باشد. ازآنجاکه کووید 19 یک بیماری عفونی نوظهور و جدی است، تحلیل الگوی پخش فضایی همهگیری خصوصاً در نواحی روستایی پیراشهری ضروری است و میتواند به اولویتبندی مکانها برای مداخلات هدفمند، آزمایش سریع و تخصیص منابع در مواجهه با موقعیتهای مشابه در آینده کمک کند. روش تحقیق توصیفی تحلیلی و از نوع تحقیقات کاربردی است. جامعه آماری 66 روستای دارای مراکز بهداشتی درمانی، در مجاورت کلانشهر مشهد در بخش مرکزی شهرستان مشهد است. مقطع زمانی موردبررسی بدو شیوع همهگیری تا مهرماه 1401 یعنی پایان موج هفتم همهگیری است. طی دوره موردبررسی میزان ابتلا به کووید-19 برای هر روستا در نرمافزار ArcGIS وارد، پردازش و الگوی توزیع فضایی همهگیری با تجزیهوتحلیل تراکم نقطهای بررسی شد. همچنین تکنیکهای بیضی فاصله استاندارد و انحراف معیار برای ارزیابی تراکم یا پراکندگی افراد آلوده و تعیین الگوی توزیع فضایی کووید 19 بکار گرفته شد. جهت شناسایی الگوی توزیع فضایی همهگیری، تحلیل خودهمبستگی فضایی موران انجام شد. نتایج تحلیل فضایی نشان داد با دورشدن از کلانشهر مشهد از تراکم مبتلایان به کووید 19 در نواحی روستایی کاسته شد. لذا مهمترین عامل انتشار فضایی ویروس کرونا در روستاهای بخش مرکزی، فاصله و مجاورت مکانی با شهر مشهد بوده و از الگوی پخش فضایی سازشپذیر هاگرستراند تبعیت میکند. نیز با افزایش تراکم جمعیت روستایی و افزایش شاغلان بخش خدمات و صنعت، ابتلا به کووید 19 افزایشیافته است. ضریب موران برابر 52/1، با مقدار Z-Score برابر 19/17 نشان میدهد الگوی پراکنش فضایی ابتلا به کووید 19 در نواحی روستایی بخش مرکزی شهرستان مشهد خوشهای است. نتایج مطالعه به سازمانهای دولتی، سیاستگذاران و متخصصان مراقبتهای بهداشتی این امکان را میدهد تا تصمیمگیری آگاهانهای جهت کنترل همهگیری و رسیدگی به بیماریهای عفونی آینده انجام دهند. مطالعات مبتنی بر دادههای کیفی برای تبیین نقش عوامل اجتماعی و اقتصادی تعیینکننده سلامت در شیوع کووید 19 موردنیاز است. </strong>https://www.jpusd.ir/article_202214_2badff6270850b932bdf30a8911f3b2e.pdfانجمن جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی ایرانتوسعه فضاهای پیراشهری2676-41646420241121The condition of failure in marriage: dysfunctional lifestyle in Metropolitan peripheral area(Case study: Mashhad metropolis)شرط عدم توفیق در ازدواج: سبک زندگی ناکارآمد در فضاهای پیراکلانشهری (مورد مطالعه: کلانشهر مشهد)253619980310.22034/jpusd.2024.418481.1283FAاسلامسالاریدانشجوی دکتری گروه جامعه شناسی اقتصادی و توسعه، واحد قوچان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، قوچان، ایران.حامدبخشیدانشیار گروه جامعه شناسی، سازمان جهاد دانشگاهی خراسان رضوی، مشهد، ایرانمهنازامیرپوراستادیار گروه علوم اجتماعی، واحد قوچان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، قوچان، ایران.Journal Article20230928During the last few years in the rural-urban areas of the country, the villagers' attention to urbanization has created a new attitude in them and has brought them along with changes in their lifestyle, so that it has provided the basis for not getting married. In this regard, the purpose of the current research is the condition of failure in marriage: dysfunctional lifestyle in Metropolitan peripheral area (Case study: Mashhad metropolis). In terms of purpose, the present research is in the category of applied research and quantitative approach, and in terms of method, it is in the framework of descriptive-analytical method, data collection is by survey method, and the research tool is questionnaire, and in order to analyze information from software SPSS software and VIKOR model were used. The results showed that among the indicators of ineffective lifestyle, the index of behavioral changes with an average value of 3.44, they have allocated the highest amount among the rural youth of the peripheral of Mashhad. Other results showed that there is a significant and positive relationship between indicators of inefficient livelihood and lack of success in marriage among young people in the peripheral of Mashhad. Among the mentioned indicators: behavioral changes with the value of possible changes of 0.4532 have the highest and the use of new technology 0.3421 have the lowest impact on failure to get married. Finally, the results of VIKOR model showed that Kashf village with weight (1) has the highest and Manzil Abad village with weight (0) has the lowest influence of ineffective lifestyle in marriage failure.<br /><br />During the last few years in the rural-urban areas of the country, the villagers' attention to urbanization has created a new attitude in them and has brought them along with changes in their lifestyle, so that it has provided the basis for not getting married. In this regard, the purpose of the current research is the condition of failure in marriage: dysfunctional lifestyle in Metropolitan peripheral area (Case study: Mashhad metropolis). In terms of purpose, the present research is in the category of applied research and quantitative approach, and in terms of method, it is in the framework of descriptive-analytical method, data collection is by survey method, and the research tool is questionnaire, and in order to analyze information from software SPSS software and VIKOR model were used. The results showed that among the indicators of ineffective lifestyle, the index of behavioral changes with an average value of 3.44, they have allocated the highest amount among the rural youth of the peripheral of Mashhad. Other results showed that there is a significant and positive relationship between indicators of inefficient livelihood and lack of success in marriage among young people in the peripheral of Mashhad. Among the mentioned indicators: behavioral changes with the value of possible changes of 0.4532 have the highest and the use of new technology 0.3421 have the lowest impact on failure to get married. Finally, the results of VIKOR model showed that Kashf village with weight (1) has the highest and Manzil Abad village with weight (0) has the lowest influence of ineffective lifestyle in marriage failure.<br /><br />During the last few years in the rural-urban areas of the country, the villagers' attention to urbanization has created a new attitude in them and has brought them along with changes in their lifestyle, so that it has provided the basis for not getting married. In this regard, the purpose of the current research is the condition of failure in marriage: dysfunctional lifestyle in Metropolitan peripheral area (Case study: Mashhad metropolis). In terms of purpose, the present research is in the category of applied research and quantitative approach, and in terms of method, it is in the framework of descriptive-analytical method, data collection is by survey method, and the research tool is questionnaire, and in order to analyze information from software SPSS software and VIKOR model were used. The results showed that among the indicators of ineffective lifestyle, the index of behavioral changes with an average value of 3.44, they have allocated the highest amount among the rural youth of the peripheral of Mashhad. Other results showed that there is a significant and positive relationship between indicators of inefficient livelihood and lack of success in marriage among young people in the peripheral of Mashhad. Among the mentioned indicators: behavioral changes with the value of possible changes of 0.4532 have the highest and the use of new technology 0.3421 have the lowest impact on failure to get married. Finally, the results of VIKOR model showed that Kashf village with weight (1) has the highest and Manzil Abad village with weight (0) has the lowest influence of ineffective lifestyle in marriage failure.<strong>طی چند سال اخیر در مناطق روستایی-شهری کشور، توجه روستاییان به شهرنشینی نگرش جدیدی را در آنها به وجود آورده و آنان را با تغییرات در سبک زندگی همراه ساخته است، بهطوریکه زمینه را برای عدم در ازدواج فراهم کرده است. در این راستا، هدف پژوهش حاضر شرط عدم توفیق در ازدواج: سبک زندگی ناکارآمد در فضاهای پیراکلانشهری مشهد میباشد. پژوهش حاضر ازنظر هدف در زمره تحقیقات کاربردی و رویکرد کمی و ازنظر روش در چارچوب روش توصیفی-تحلیلی قرارگرفته است، جمعآوری اطلاعات به روش پیمایشی بوده و ابزار تحقیق پرسشنامه است، و بهمنظور تجزیهوتحلیل اطلاعات از نرمافزار SPSS و مدل VIKOR استفاده شد. نتایج نشان داد، از بین شاخصهای سبک زندگی ناکارآمد، شاخص تغییرات رفتاری با مقدار میانگین 44/3، بیشترین میزان را در بین جوانان روستایی پیراشهری مشهد به خود اختصاص دادهاند. سایر نتایج نشان داد، بین شاخصهای کسب زندگی ناکارآمد و عدم توفیق در ازدواج در بین جوانان در روستاهای پیراشهری مشهد ارتباط معنادار و مثبتی در سطح معناداری مشاهده میشود، که از بین شاخصهای مطرحشده: تغییرات رفتاری با مقدار تغییرات احتمالی 4532/0 بیشترین و کاربرد فناوری نوین 3421/0، کمترین میزان تأثیر را در عدم توفیق به ازدواج به خود اختصاص دادهاند. درنهایت نتایج مدل ویکور نشان داد، روستای کشف با وزن (1)، بیشترین و روستای منزل آباد با وزن (0)، کمترین میزان تأثیرپذیری را از سبک زندگی ناکارآمد در عدم توفیق در ازدواج به خود اختصاص دادهاند. </strong>https://www.jpusd.ir/article_199803_1b749fd54623fd91af4ab3c39a3fe35a.pdfانجمن جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی ایرانتوسعه فضاهای پیراشهری2676-41646420241121Explanation of the key drivers affecting the realization of community-oriented tourism in the development of peri-urban villages in Rasht metropolis.تبیین پیشرانهای کلیدی مؤثر بر تحققپذیری گردشگری جامعهمحور در توسعه روستاهای پیراشهری کلانشهر رشت375421426210.22034/jpusd.2025.488032.1323FAفرهادجواناستادیار گروه مدیریت جهانگردی، دانشکده میراث فرهنگی، صنایع دستی و گردشگری، دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایرانصادقبرزگراستادیار گروه جغرافیا. دانشگاه پیام نور. تهران. ایرانJournal Article20241110The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<br />The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<br />The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<br />The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<br />The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<br />The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<br />The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<br />The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<br />The current research has been done with the aim of explaining the effective platforms in the development of war tourism in Iran, in this regard; In terms of purpose, it is practical and in terms of method, it is in the group of qualitative and quantitative researches. In order to analyze the information, the contextual theory model and fuzzy ARAs have been used. The statistical community in the current research also includes experts and elites in the field of study (tourism), which was done using the purposeful sampling method, the number (35) people were selected.<strong>گردشگری جامع محور در روستاهای پیراشهری، یک برنامه یا اقدام گروهی از جامعه است که تصمیم گرفتهاند در یک صنعت گردشگری محلی در مقیاس کوچک تا متوسط شرکت کنند و آن را توسعه دهند. در این راستا، ازآنجاکه گردشگری جامعهمحور توسط جوامع محلی آغاز و هدایت میشود، بهاحتمالزیاد نتایج مطلوب اجتماعی و اقتصادی را به حداکثر میرساند. ازاینرو، پژوهش حاضر باهدف تبیین پیشرانهای کلیدی مؤثر بر تحققپذیری گردشگری جامعهمحور در توسعه روستاهای پیراشهری رشت انجامشده است، ازاینرو، ازنظر هدف؛ کاربردی و دارای ماهیت تفسیری و تحلیلی و ازلحاظ روش در گروه پژوهشهای کیفی و کمی قرار دارد. بهمنظور تجزیهوتحلیل اطلاعات از روش تئوری زمینهای و آزمونهای آماری رگرسیون، تحلیل مسیر و همبستگی استفادهشده است. نتایج نشان داد، پیشرانهای مؤثر در تحققپذیری گردشگری جامعهمحور در روستاهای پیراشهری رشت شامل: سرمایهگذاری و اعتبارات، افزایش آگاهی و اطلاعرسانی درزمینه گردشگری در بین ذینفعان، توانافزایی زنان، ایجاد کمیتههای راهبردی برای طرحهای گردشگری، تقویت مشارکت اجتماعی، ترسیم الگوی گردشگری جامعهمحور، اصلاح ساختار قدرت در بخش گردشگری، ایجاد شبکه عرضه، تحلیل سرمایه مقصد گردشگری روستاهای پیراشهری، در نظر گرفتن گردشگری بهعنوان مکمل توسعه، حفظ فرهنگ محلی در روستاها و مدیریت مطلوب؛ هستند. سپس در فاز کمی پژوهش، بررسی مقادیر ضریب همبستگی پیرسون نشان داد،بین تمامی پیشرانهای مطرحشده با توسعه روستاهای پیراشهری رابطه مثبت و معنیداری در سطح اطمینان 99 درصد وجود دارد. درنهایت نتایج تحلیل مسیر نشان داد، میزان اثرات مستقیم پیشرانهای (افزایش آگاهی و اطلاعرسانی در زمینه گردشگری در بین ذینفعان، تقویت مشارکت اجتماعی، حفظ فرهنگ محلی در روستاها) بیشتر از سایر پیشرانها بوده و پیشران اصلاح ساختار قدرت در بخش گردشگری بیشترین میزان اثرات غیرمستقیم را در توسعه روستاها شامل شده است. همچنین با توجه به نتایج مجموع اثرات علی، پیشران افزایش آگاهی و اطلاعرسانی درزمینه گردشگری در بین ذینفعان با مقدار 246/0 بیشترین میزان تأثیر را در توسعه روستاها در ابعاد (اقتصادی، اجتماعی، محیطی و فرهنگی) به خود اختصاص داده است.</strong>https://www.jpusd.ir/article_214262_eec11b1bf2e17846a4815ddcbbc82f4a.pdfانجمن جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی ایرانتوسعه فضاهای پیراشهری2676-41646420241121Designing a suitable pattern to achieve sustainable development of urban peripheral areas based on environmental indicators (Case Study: Chabahar)طراحی الگوی متناسب جهت دستیابی به توسعه پایدار مناطق پیراشهری بر مبنای شاخص های زیست محیطی (مورد مطالعه: چابهار)556821158610.22034/jpusd.2024.473392.1317FAناصرآبروشدانشجوی دکتری، گروه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی شهری، واحد زاهدان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، زاهدان، ایران.مریمکریمیان بستانیاستادیار، گروه جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری، واحد زاهدان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، زاهدان، ایران.غلامرضامیریاستادیار، گروه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی شهری، واحد زاهدان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، زاهدان، ایران.Journal Article20240814Today, the growth of urbanization has caused the natural environments around the cities to be destroyed and the environmental hazards have been reduced from the global scale to the local (urban and regional) scale. In this regard, the aim of the current research is to design a suitable pattern to achieve the sustainable development of the urban peripheral areas of Chabahar based on environmental indicators. In terms of purpose, the current research is in applied research, and in terms of method, it is in the framework of descriptive-analytical method, data collection is by field method, and the research tool is questionnaire. The statistical population of the study includes all experts, professors and university researchers related to the research subject in Chabahar, and the sample size was selected based on targeted sampling of 50 people. To analyze the research data, SPSS and AMOS software and structural equation analysis were used to draw a proportional model to achieve sustainable development of urban peripheral areas based on environmental indicators. The results show that environmental conditions have an effect on achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas with an impact factor of 0.22 and a significance level of 0.006. Also, environmental resources and services, environmental health and energy have been effective in achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas with path coefficients of 0.30, 0.62 and 0.56, respectively, in such a way that environmental health has the most impact and resources and Environmental services have the lowest impact on achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas.Today, the growth of urbanization has caused the natural environments around the cities to be destroyed and the environmental hazards have been reduced from the global scale to the local (urban and regional) scale. In this regard, the aim of the current research is to design a suitable pattern to achieve the sustainable development of the urban peripheral areas of Chabahar based on environmental indicators. In terms of purpose, the current research is in applied research, and in terms of method, it is in the framework of descriptive-analytical method, data collection is by field method, and the research tool is questionnaire. The statistical population of the study includes all experts, professors and university researchers related to the research subject in Chabahar, and the sample size was selected based on targeted sampling of 50 people. To analyze the research data, SPSS and AMOS software and structural equation analysis were used to draw a proportional model to achieve sustainable development of urban peripheral areas based on environmental indicators. The results show that environmental conditions have an effect on achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas with an impact factor of 0.22 and a significance level of 0.006. Also, environmental resources and services, environmental health and energy have been effective in achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas with path coefficients of 0.30, 0.62 and 0.56, respectively, in such a way that environmental health has the most impact and resources and Environmental services have the lowest impact on achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas.Today, the growth of urbanization has caused the natural environments around the cities to be destroyed and the environmental hazards have been reduced from the global scale to the local (urban and regional) scale. In this regard, the aim of the current research is to design a suitable pattern to achieve the sustainable development of the urban peripheral areas of Chabahar based on environmental indicators. In terms of purpose, the current research is in applied research, and in terms of method, it is in the framework of descriptive-analytical method, data collection is by field method, and the research tool is questionnaire. The statistical population of the study includes all experts, professors and university researchers related to the research subject in Chabahar, and the sample size was selected based on targeted sampling of 50 people. To analyze the research data, SPSS and AMOS software and structural equation analysis were used to draw a proportional model to achieve sustainable development of urban peripheral areas based on environmental indicators. The results show that environmental conditions have an effect on achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas with an impact factor of 0.22 and a significance level of 0.006. Also, environmental resources and services, environmental health and energy have been effective in achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas with path coefficients of 0.30, 0.62 and 0.56, respectively, in such a way that environmental health has the most impact and resources and Environmental services have the lowest impact on achieving sustainable development of urban peripheral areas.<strong>امروزه رشد شهرنشینی سبب شده است تا محیطهای طبیعی پیرامون شهرها از بین رفته و مخاطرات زیستمحیطی از مقیاس جهانی خود به مقیاس محلی (شهری و منطقهای) تنزل یابد. در این راستا هدف پژوهش حاضر طراحی الگوی متناسب جهت دستیابی به توسعه پایدار مناطق پیراشهری چابهار بر مبنای شاخصهای زیستمحیطی، میباشد. تحقیق حاضر ازنظر هدف در زمره تحقیقات کاربردی و ازنظر روش در چارچوب روش توصیفی-تحلیلی قرارگرفته است، جمعآوری اطلاعات به روش میدانی بوده و ابزار تحقیق پرسشنامه است. جامعه آماری موردپژوهش شامل کلیه کارشناسان، اساتید و محققین دانشگاهی مرتبط با موضوع پژوهش در چابهار میباشند که حجم نمونه بر اساس نمونهگیری هدفمند 40 نفر انتخاب شد. برای تجزیهوتحلیل دادههای پژوهش از نرمافزارهای SPSS و AMOS و تحلیل معادلات ساختاری برای ترسیم الگوی متناسب دستیابی به توسعه پایدار مناطق پیراشهری بر مبنای شاخصهای زیستمحیطی استفاده شد. نتایج بیانگر آن است که شرایط زیستمحیطی با ضریب تأثیر 22/0 و میزان معناداری 0.006 بر دستیابی به توسعه پایدار مناطق پیراشهری اثر داشته است. همچنین منابع و خدمات محیط، سلامت محیط و انرژی بر دستیابی بر توسعه پایدار مناطق پیراشهری به ترتیب با ضرایب مسیر 30/0، 62/0 و 56/0 اثرگذار بوده است بهگونهای که سلامت محیط دارای بیشترین میزان اثرگذاری و منابع و خدمات محیط، دارای کمترین میزان اثرگذاری بر دستیابی بر توسعه پایدار مناطق پیراشهری داشتهاند.</strong>https://www.jpusd.ir/article_211586_3e0ad0755e0174271bd1064b4178ff3f.pdfانجمن جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی ایرانتوسعه فضاهای پیراشهری2676-41646420241121Assessing the sustainability of rural settlements around the city of Urmia (South Nazlo Chai village)سنجش پایداری سکونتگاه های روستایی پیرامون شهر ارومیه698819721110.22034/jpusd.2024.440550.1301FAمجیدپریشاناستادیار گروه جغرافیا،دانشگاه پیام نور،تهران،ایرانمنصوررضاعلیدکتری گروه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی شهری، دانشکده علوم انسانی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.0000-0003-4131-6696ولی الهنظریدانشیار گروه آموزش جغرافیا، دانشگاه فرهنگیان، تهران، ایران0000-0002-2729-7073فرزانهزمانیکارشناسی ارشد، گروه جغرافیا،دانشگاه پیام نور،تهران،ایران0009-0000-0890-7940Journal Article20240130Extended Abstract :<br /><br />Introduction <br /><br />Rural settlements in Iran have been formed according to the local knowledge and have developed their own evolutionary process according to the system of Hud formation during the past thousands of years. It has been created in rural settlements, but the process of multiple sustainability can be considered and comprehensively investigated, a process that has many reasons and has been able to bring about the stability of rural settlements in Iran and its territorial geography. Also in The modern period of Iran, which has been transformed in accordance with the global system, the rural system of Iran has also seen a drastic transformation and has witnessed profound changes in its settlements. and measured their instability. On this basis and according to the topic of the present research, the process of investigating the stability of rural settlements around the city of Urmia (Nazlu South Chai village) has been evaluated, which has been analyzed with five dimensions and components. For this purpose, which has been accepted as a research process, regular scientific steps have been taken and the level of sustainability in this area has been carefully analyzed. <br /><br />Methodology:<br /><br />The above research was conducted in order to measure the sustainability of rural settlements around the city of Urmia. The type of research is applied and the research method is descriptive-analytical. The method of collecting documentary, library and field information from 9 villages of South Chai Nazloi Dehistan has been. From the total population of 1247 households, 214 households were selected as samples. Both descriptive and inferential statistics were used to analyze the data. The results of the research showed that the level of sustainability is different in economic, social and environmental dimensions. At the level of the studied villages, the most sustainability is related to the social component (with an average rank of 3.45) and it has played the biggest role in rural sustainability. After that, the physical-spatial component (with an average rating of 2.74), the environmental component (with an average rating of 2.16) and the economic component (with an average rating of 1.65) are in the next ranks. Therefore, it is necessary to pay attention to all aspects of sustainability, especially in indicators where sustainability is lower than average.<br /><br />Results and discussion:<br /><br />Measuring the sustainability of tea in Nazlu district with 5 components has been discussed and fully investigated in the form of statistical tests that show different results. Based on this and according to the 50 items analyzed in Nazlu district It was found that the significance level of each of the components is different from each other and it is completely different based on the opinion of the people who were measured.<br /><br />Conclusion:<br /><br />Sustainable development and sustainability assessment are mainly considered two inseparable pillars. The results of the research show: the level of sustainability in the study area is different in economic, social and environmental dimensions, and at the level of the studied villages, the most sustainable is the social component (with an average rank of 3.45), followed by the physical component. - Spatial (with an average rating of 2.74), environmental component (with an average rating of 2.16) and economic component (with an average rating of 1.65) are in the next categories. With an average of (3.22), it has the most stable results in terms of physical-spatial indicators. Chichkalvi village of Haji Agha with an average of (3.11), Bezlo village (3.10), Asgar Abad Tiyeh village (2.95), Zaye Kandi village with an average of (2.95) ranking in terms of social indicators in the sustainability of Nazloi villages South play a role. Also, based on the results obtained from the ANOVA test, it shows that Haji Agha village of Chichkalvi has the most sustainable results in terms of economic indicators with an average of (2.91). Bazlo village with an average of (2.60), Arablovi Yakan village (2.57), Asgar Abad Tiye village (2.50), Zaye Kandi village with an average (2.50), Saidelo village (2.47), Samsalu village with an average of 2.45, Dastjard village with an average of 2.24, and Taze Kand village of Afshar with an average of 2.04 respectively have a role in the stability of southern Nazlo villages in terms of economic indicators. In the environmental field, the village of Chichakloi Haji Agha has the highest sustainability results in terms of environmental indicators with an average of (3.33). and Saidalo villages with an average of (2.66), Asgarabad Tiyeh village (2.65), Samsalo village (2.55), Zaye Kandi village with an average of (2.55), Taze Kand village of Afshar (2.42), Dastjard with an average of 2.37, Arablovi Yakan village with an average of 2.28, and Bezlo village with an average of 2.03 have played a role in the sustainability of southern Nazloi villages, respectively, in terms of environmental indicators. Also, there is a significant and positive relationship between sustainability and economic, social and environmental dimensions as well as sustainable rural development at the alpha level of 0.01%. Therefore, it is necessary to pay attention to all dimensions of sustainability, especially in indicators where sustainability is lower than average.<strong>این پژوهش بهمنظور سنجش پایداری سکونتگاههای روستایی پیرامون شهر ارومیه انجامشده است. نوع پژوهش کاربردی و روش تحقیق توصیفی- تحلیلی است. روش گردآوری اطلاعات، اسنادی، کتابخانهای و میدانی از بین 9 روستای دهستان نازلوی چای جنوبی بوده است. از بین کل جامعه آماری 738 خانوار، تعداد 170 خانوار با روش تخصیص متناسب بهعنوان نمونه انتخاب گردید. جهت تجزیهوتحلیل اطلاعات از آمار توصیفی(فراوانی، میانه، پراکندگی، و..) و جهت مقایسه میانگینها و تبیین معنیدار بودن تفاوتهای موجود بین طبقات یا گروهها از آزمونهای تی تک نمونهای ، فیشر و برای تبیین همبستگی و تأثیرگذاری از آزمون آماری پیرسون استفاده شد. نتایج حاصل از پژوهش بیانگر تفاوت میزان پایداری در ابعاد مختلف زیستمحیطی، اجتماعی-فرهنگی،اقتصادی و کالبدی است. در سطح روستاها موردمطالعه، مؤلفه اجتماعی با رتبه میانگین (45/3) بیشترین نقش را در پایداری روستایی داشته است. بعدازآن به ترتیب مؤلفههای کالبدی- فضایی با رتبه میانگین (74/2) زیستمحیطی با رتبه میانگین (16/2) و مؤلفه اقتصادی با رتبه میانگین (65/1) در ردههای بعدی قرار دارند. همچنین بهغیراز روستای چیچکلوی حاجآقا که میزان پایداری آن در حد متوسط(09/3) بوده، میزان پایداری دیگر روستاها پایینتر از حد متوسط میباشد. حال با توجه به وضعیت پایداری در ابعاد مختلف و در بین سطوح مختلف فضاهای روستایی، تقویت شاخصها بهویژه در شاخصهایی که پایداری پایینتر از حد متوسط میباشد، ضروری است.</strong>https://www.jpusd.ir/article_197211_84882c0986aa7daaef41fedbd2e3700e.pdfانجمن جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی ایرانتوسعه فضاهای پیراشهری2676-41646420241121Analysis of the factors affecting the expansion of micro-agricultural activities in the peri-urban villages of Astane Ashrafieh Countyتحلیل مؤلفههای اثرگذار بر گسترش فعالیتهای خرد کشاورزی در روستاهای پیراشهری آستانه اشرفیه8910619987310.22034/jpusd.2024.426834.1289FAفاطمهمنجمی لاهیجانیدانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی، گروه جغرافیا، دانشکده علوم انسانی، واحد رشت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، رشت، ایرانعیسیپوررمضاندانشیار، گروه جغرافیا، دانشکده علوم انسانی، واحد رشت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، رشت، ایران0000-0002-2637-8517تیمورآماردانشیار، گروه جغرافیا، دانشکده علوم انسانی، واحد رشت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، رشت، ایرانJournal Article20240222Introduction <br /><br />Astana Ashrafieh County in the east of Guilan province, with suitable environmental conditions, besides the main activity of the villagers, which is the cultivation and production of rice, other activities are carried out, which are common to micro-agricultural activities. Micro-agricultural activities are a type of family exploitation and include activities that, in addition to the main activity of rice cultivation, are carried out by family labor in small-scale lands of less than two to three thousand square meters and for about nine months of the year. It is done by the villagers in such a way that its economic effects are very appropriate, significant and thoughtful considering the sales market. The expansion of micro-agricultural activities in the peri-urban villages of Astana Ashrafieh has had a positive effect on the economy and rural development of this area, so that it has led to an increase in the income and employment of the villagers. Since micro-farming needs to expand and develop to provide food for the growing population, it is therefore necessary to examine the effective components of the expansion of this style of agriculture and exploit the dimensions and indicators related to them.<br /><br />Methodology <br /><br />The current research is descriptive-analytical in terms of its practical purpose and its nature. The purpose of this research is to determine the factors affecting the expansion of micro-agricultural activities in the peri-urban villages of Astana Ashrafieh, which was done using documentary sources and field studies in the form of a questionnaire tool. The statistical population of the current research is 9 villages with micro-agricultural activities around the city of Astana Ashrafieh, and due to the importance of the issue, in the section of the effective factors in the expansion of micro-agricultural activities, the full enumeration method was used, and in order to determine the factors influencing the expansion of micro-agricultural activities, random sampling was used. - Quotas have been used. 350 people active in the field of micro-agricultural activities were selected as a statistical sample and descriptive and inferential statistics were used for data analysis and SPSS software was used for data processing.<br /><br />Results and discussion <br /><br />In order to determine the influencing factors on micro-agricultural activities in the peri-urban villages of Astana Ashrafieh, 55 variables were used and Friedman's test was used in the SPSS environment to prioritize them. In the first step of this matter, it was investigated that the factors affecting the expansion of micro-agricultural activities in the studied villages are in a meaningful situation. Based on the results of the t-statistics table, it can be said that all the components have a favorable situation and are significant for the development of micro-agricultural activities. After ranking the variables affecting the expansion of micro-agricultural activities in the peri-urban settlements of Astana Ashrafieh, the factors affecting the expansion of micro-agricultural activities have been prioritized based on the indicators of economic security, causes of activity expansion, economic well-being, cultivation and production problems, and social characteristics. The findings show that the economic security index was made using 9 components, based on which the income component was the most important influencing component in this index with an average of 36.68. According to the index of the reason for the development and expansion of micro-agricultural activities, the component of technology and mechanization has the highest priority as the reason for the development and expansion of this activity with an average rank of 39.55. In the economic well-being index, 9 components are used, the components of using facilities with an average of 35.62, savings with an average of 33.76, and ownership and access to a vehicle with an average of 3.13 in the first to third ranks of the welfare index. Economic expansion of micro-agricultural activities. The index of suitable cultivation and production conditions is evaluated with 10 components, which include the possibility of product supply in the local market (average 34.14), access and supply of products in local markets (average 33.85) and insurance of agricultural products (average 32.58). The most important influencing factor of this index. And finally, the index of social characteristics, which was evaluated using 7 components, showed that the component of the level of education with an average of 25.53 was the most important component of the index of social characteristics, which contributed to the expansion of micro-agricultural activities in peri-urban villages.<br /><br />Conclusion <br /><br />Micro-agricultural activities have been considered as an important activity in addition to the main activity of villagers in order to provide food and sustainable rural development due to their simplicity and the possibility of doing them in farms and small spaces. Astana Ashrafieh County in the east of Guilan province is the most important geographical area of this province, which, due to having favorable environmental conditions, especially fertile soil, sufficient water resources and local knowledge, a significant part of the rural population of this city, besides the main activity and around It occupies 9 months of the year. This research aims to determine the factors affecting the expansion of micro-agricultural activities in the peri-urban rural settlements of Astana Ashrafieh with 55 components and using the t-test, they were first ranked and then through the Friedman test, these components were ranked in the form of indicators of economic security, reasons for the expansion of activity, welfare economic, suitable cultivation and production conditions and social characteristics have been investigated and analyzed. Based on the results obtained, the index of the reasons for the expansion of micro-agricultural activities with 8 components and an average of 29.02, is the most effective index in this field. Economic welfare indicators with 9 components and an average of 28.90 are in the second place, providing suitable conditions for cultivation and production with 10 components and an average of 28.14 in the third place, economic security index with 9 components and an average of 27.15 in the fourth place and the characteristics Social with 7 components and an average of 23.40 has ranked fifth in influencing the expansion of small farming activities in peri-urban villages of Astana Ashrafieh.<strong>کشاورزی مهمترین فعالیت اقتصادی سکونتگاههای روستایی استان گیلان میباشد که در اشکال و اندازههای مختلف صورت میگیرد. فعالیتهای خرد کشاورزی در مناطق سنتی معمولاً یک گزینه مهم در کنار فعالیت اصلی، برای معیشت کشاورزان به شمار میرود. از سوی دیگر این کشاورزی تحت مؤلفههایی قرار دارد که درنهایت بر گسترش فعالیتهای خرد کشاورزی اثرگذار میباشند. هدف این مطالعه رتبهبندی مؤلفههای اثرگذار بر گسترش فعالیتهای خرد کشاورزی در روستاهای پیراشهری آستانه اشرفیه میباشد. روش تحقیق بهصورت توصیفی - تحلیلی و روش جمعآوری اطلاعات اسنادی و پیمایشی بوده است. جامعه آماری پژوهش حاضر بهرهبرداران 9 روستای پیراشهری آستانه اشرفیه که دارای فعالیتهای خرد کشاورزی بوده (تمام شماری)، تشکیل دادهاند. به همین منظور تعداد 350 نفر از افراد فعال در حوزه فعالیتهای خرد کشاورزی بهعنوان نمونه آماری بر اساس نمونهگیری تصادفی- سهمیهای انتخاب شدند. برای تجزیهوتحلیل اطلاعات از آزمون فریدمن و برای بررسی معنیدار بودن مؤلفههای موردبررسی از آزمون t استفاده شد. یافتههای نشان داد که درمجموع 55 مؤلفه اثرگذار بر فعالیتهای خرد کشاورزی در آستانه اشرفیه شناسایی شدند که دارای قابلیت رتبهبندی هستند. بالاترین اولویت مرتبط با تکنولوژی و مکانیزاسیون با میانگین رتبهای برابر با 5/39 میباشد. رتبه دوم مرتبط با بهبود بازدهی با میانگین رتبه 4/38، رتبه سوم با 6/36 مرتبط با درآمد میباشد. همچنین رتبه چهارم به استفاده از تسهیلات با میانگین رتبهای برابر 6/35 اختصاص داشته است. </strong>https://www.jpusd.ir/article_199873_099a6260fd0613e1c61afbf54ae3650b.pdfانجمن جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی ایرانتوسعه فضاهای پیراشهری2676-41646420241121Scenario planning of rural tourism marketing in peri-urban spaces (case study: villages around Sanandaj city)سناریونگاری بازاریابی گردشگری روستایی در فضاهای پیراشهری (مطالعه موردی: روستاهای پیرامون شهر سنندج)10712621158510.22034/jpusd.2024.461487.1310FAایوبمحمدیاستادیار گروه ژئومورفولوژی، دانشکده منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایرانداودجمینیاستادیار،گروه ژئومورفولوژی، دانشکده منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران(پژوهشگر پارهوقت پژوهشکده کردستانشناسی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران).0000-0003-2061-4387Journal Article20240606Introduction<br />Considering that several factors can be effective in the development of rural tourism and its marketing process, it is important and necessary to identify the drivers and drivers of rural tourism marketing and scenario planning regarding rural tourism marketing. By relying on scenario planning in rural tourism marketing, it is possible to provide the necessary cognitive background for the sustainable development of tourism in rural areas in the future. Around the city of Sanandaj as the capital of Kurdistan province, there are many villages that have many natural and human attractions in terms of tourism. Among the villages located around the city of Sanandaj, the villages of Noura, Qar, Brazan, Salavat Abad, Babariz, Sarab Qamish and Arendan receive a significant number of tourists. The reason is the existence of ecotourism residences, a beautiful landscape, the availability of services and amenities, accommodation and health, and a short distance from Sanandaj city. In line with the sustainable benefit of the local community from the benefits of rural tourism, paying attention to the marketing category with a scenario-based approach in these tourist destinations can guarantee the sustainable development of tourism in these peri-urban spaces. Therefore, according to the mentioned materials, the main questions of the present research are: What are the key drivers affecting the development of tourism marketing in the peri-urban villages of Sanandaj city? And what scenarios can be presented for the development of tourism marketing in the peri-urban villages of Sanandaj?<br /><br />Methodology <br />In order to identify the key drivers effective on tourism marketing in the villages around Sanandaj city, the process was as follows: First, through the Delphi method and using the opinions of 50 experts and specialists in rural planning and tourism, among all the primary factors affecting rural tourism marketing, 25 main variables have been identified and extracted. In the following, by distributing a questionnaire and surveying 30 experts and experts, through cross-effects analysis, the key drivers affecting tourism marketing in the villages around Sanandaj city have been identified using Micmac software. After identifying the key drivers, by distributing the third-stage questionnaire among 20 experts and experts, using the Scenario Wizard software, the possible and desirable future scenarios of tourism marketing in the villages around Sanandaj city have been presented.<br /><br />Results and discussion<br /><br />The results of the research showed that among the 25 main factors affecting tourism marketing in the villages around Sanandaj city, 5 key variables have been identified as key drivers. These variables are: advertising (spreading leaflets, word of mouth, social media) (A1); investment (A11); attractiveness and integrated management of tourist destinations (A14); Awareness of the local community regarding tourism (A16) and the participation of local communities in the tourism development process (A18). Also, the results showed that 19 scenarios regarding tourism marketing have been achieved in the suburban villages of Sanandaj, which are divided into four groups: scenarios with very favorable conditions, scenarios with a static trend and relative improvement in some factors, scenarios on the brink of crisis, and critical scenarios.<br /><br />Conclusion<br />Advertising in rural tourism marketing in peri-urban spaces, including advertising through leaflets, word of mouth and using social media, is very important. These marketing tools as basic solutions can help to develop and attract tourists to rural settlements around cities. Distributing tracts in peri-urban areas, especially near urban centers, can be an efficient method to attract the attention of tourists. These tracts can include information about rural tourism attractions, local activities, accommodation services, and tourist tours that attract and encourage the audience to visit villages and natural areas. Investment can also significantly help to develop tourism in rural settlements and improve the economic and social status of these areas. Some of the importance of investment in this field are: development of infrastructure and services, development of tourism culture, promotion and marketing, improvement of employment level and environmental protection. The results showed that management in tourism marketing in peri-urban villages is very important in different aspects such as planning and strategizing, human resources management, financial management, communication and marketing management, and service and facility management. The level of awareness of the local community is also considered as one of the main success factors in the development of rural tourism. Some of the effects of this awareness in tourism marketing in peri-urban villages are: participation of the local community, introduction of local resources and attractions, preservation and development of local culture and acceptance and welcoming of tourists. The participation of local communities in the process of tourism development in peri-urban spaces has a significant effect on rural tourism marketing. This partnership can help the sustainable and successful development of the tourism industry in rural settlements and is very important in rural tourism marketing. Some of the effects of the participation of local communities in the marketing of rural tourism in peri-urban spaces are: ensuring the provision of local experience, developing regional products and services, and enhancing the experience of tourists.<br />Also, the results indicate the future offending scenarios of tourism marketing in Sanandaj peri-urban villages. The results of this section indicate that a total of 19 scenarios have been identified for the future of tourism marketing in the peri-urban villages of Sanandaj, among which one scenario is in a favorable situation and one scenario is in an unfavorable situation, and the other scenarios are between the favorable scenario and the unfavorable scenario. . In order to achieve the desired scenario, special attention should be paid to all the factors influencing tourism marketing in the peri-urban villages of Sanandaj, especially the key drivers.<strong>توسعه پایدار گردشگری منوط به برنامهریزی منسجم و یکپارچه بازاریابی گردشگری با رویکرد آیندهپژوهی است. هدف پژوهش حاضر شناسایی پیشرانهای کلیدی و سناریونگاری بازاریابی گردشگری روستایی در فضاهای پیراشهری است که بهصورت مطالعه موردی در روستاهای گردشگرپذیر پیرامون شهر سنندج انجامگرفته است. این پژوهش ازلحاظ هدف کاربردی و ازلحاظ ماهیت و روش، توصیفی ـ تحلیلی است که با رویکرد آیندهپژوهانه انجامگرفته است. جهت شناسایی پیشرانهای کلیدی از نرمافزار میکمک و جهت ارائه سناریوها از نرمافزار سناریو ویزارد استفادهشده است.</strong><strong> نتایج پژوهش نشان داد در میان 25 عامل اصلی تأثیرگذار بر بازاریابی گردشگری در روستاهای پیرامون شهر سنندج، 5 متغیر کلیدی بهعنوان پیشرانهای کلیدی شناساییشدهاند. این متغیرها عبارتاند از: تبلیغات (توزیع بروشور، شفاهی، رسانههای اجتماعی) (A1)؛ سرمایهگذاری (A11)؛ جذابیت و مدیریت یکپارچه مقاصد گردشگری (A14)؛ آگاهی جامعه محلی در خصوص گردشگری (A16) و مشارکت جوامع محلی در فرایند توسعه گردشگری (A18). همچنین نتایج نشان داد 19 سناریو در خصوص بازاریابی گردشگری در روستاهای پیراشهری سنندج حاصلشده است که در چهار گروه سناریوهای با شرایط بسیار مطلوب، سناریوهای با روند ایستا و بهبود نسبی در برخی عوامل، سناریوهای در آستانه بحران و سناریوهای بحرانی تقسیمبندی شدهاند. </strong><strong>درمجموع میتوان چنین عنوان کرد که برای دستیابی به سناریوی مطلوب، باید بهتمامی عوامل تأثیرگذار بر بازاریابی گردشگری روستایی بهویژه پیشرانهای کلیدی، توجه ویژه معطوف گردد، در غیر این صورت سناریوی نامطلوب اتفاق خواهد افتاد که در آن، تمامی پیشرانهای کلیدی در وضعیت نامطلوبی خواهند بود و نتیجه نهایی آن، بحران در بازاریابی گردشگری روستایی است.</strong>https://www.jpusd.ir/article_211585_4461492321b265f3637b11de9829346e.pdfانجمن جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی ایرانتوسعه فضاهای پیراشهری2676-41646420241121Assessment of Land Use Changes with a Focus on Peri-Urban Garden Cities of Zanjan from 1993 to 2023سنجش تغییرات کاربری اراضی با تاکید بر باغ شهرهای پیرا شهری زنجان12714020946310.22034/jpusd.2024.484340.1321FAوحیدهملاکرمیدانشجوی دکتری گروه ترویج، ارتباطات و توسعه روستایی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه زنجان، زنجان، ایران.شادعلیتوحیدلواستادیار گروه ترویج، ارتباطات و توسعه روستایی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه زنجان، زنجان، ایران.0000-0001-9431-2336علیشمسدانشیار گروه ترویج، ارتباطات و توسعه روستایی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه زنجان، زنجان، ایران.حسینطهماسبی مقدماستادیارگروه جغرافیا، دانشکده علوم انسانی، دانشگاه زنجان، زنجان، ایران.0000-0002-7753-5762Journal Article20241019In recent decades, land use and land cover changes, driven by various factors, have led to unprecedented degradation of ecosystems, particularly in peri-urban areas. The primary aim of this study is to assess land use changes with an emphasis on the peri-urban garden cities of Zanjan over the period from 1993 to 2023. This research utilizes satellite imagery from Landsat 5, 8, and 9 across the 30-year period and applies the fuzzy supervised classification method to categorize the satellite images. The results indicate that the highest growth in built-up areas occurred between 2003–2013, followed by a slowdown in recent years. Gardens initially expanded but began to decline from 2013 onward. Similarly, water resources and agricultural lands, after experiencing a period of decline, showed improvement by 2023. In contrast, rangelands exhibited a continuous downward trend. This study emphasizes the importance of ensuring the sustainability of peri-urban garden cities in Zanjan and recommends the adoption of entrepreneurial approaches to promote urban agriculture sustainability. The findings highlight that precise land use policies and management for garden cities around Zanjan can prevent irregular development and foster spatial equilibrium. In recent decades, land use and land cover changes, driven by various factors, have led to unprecedented degradation of ecosystems, particularly in peri-urban areas. The primary aim of this study is to assess land use changes with an emphasis on the peri-urban garden cities of Zanjan over the period from 1993 to 2023. This research utilizes satellite imagery from Landsat 5, 8, and 9 across the 30-year period and applies the fuzzy supervised classification method to categorize the satellite images. The results indicate that the highest growth in built-up areas occurred between 2003–2013, followed by a slowdown in recent years. Gardens initially expanded but began to decline from 2013 onward. Similarly, water resources and agricultural lands, after experiencing a period of decline, showed improvement by 2023. In contrast, rangelands exhibited a continuous downward trend. This study emphasizes the importance of ensuring the sustainability of peri-urban garden cities in Zanjan and recommends the adoption of entrepreneurial approaches to promote urban agriculture sustainability. The findings highlight that precise land use policies and management for garden cities around Zanjan can prevent irregular development and foster spatial equilibrium. In recent decades, land use and land cover changes, driven by various factors, have led to unprecedented degradation of ecosystems, particularly in peri-urban areas. The primary aim of this study is to assess land use changes with an emphasis on the peri-urban garden cities of Zanjan over the period from 1993 to 2023. This research utilizes satellite imagery from Landsat 5, 8, and 9 across the 30-year period and applies the fuzzy supervised classification method to categorize the satellite images. The results indicate that the highest growth in built-up areas occurred between 2003–2013, followed by a slowdown in recent years. Gardens initially expanded but began to decline from 2013 onward. Similarly, water resources and agricultural lands, after experiencing a period of decline, showed improvement by 2023. In contrast, rangelands exhibited a continuous downward trend. This study emphasizes the importance of ensuring the sustainability of peri-urban garden cities in Zanjan and recommends the adoption of entrepreneurial approaches to promote urban agriculture sustainability. The findings highlight that precise land use policies and management for garden cities around Zanjan can prevent irregular development and foster spatial equilibrium. In recent decades, land use and land cover changes, driven by various factors, have led to unprecedented degradation of ecosystems, particularly in peri-urban areas. The primary aim of this study is to assess land use changes with an emphasis on the peri-urban garden cities of Zanjan over the period from 1993 to 2023. This research utilizes satellite imagery from Landsat 5, 8, and 9 across the 30-year period and applies the fuzzy supervised classification method to categorize the satellite images. The results indicate that the highest growth in built-up areas occurred between 2003–2013, followed by a slowdown in recent years. Gardens initially expanded but began to decline from 2013 onward. Similarly, water resources and agricultural lands, after experiencing a period of decline, showed improvement by 2023. In contrast, rangelands exhibited a continuous downward trend. This study emphasizes the importance of ensuring the sustainability of peri-urban garden cities in Zanjan and recommends the adoption of entrepreneurial approaches to promote urban agriculture sustainability. The findings highlight that precise land use policies and management for garden cities around Zanjan can prevent irregular development and foster spatial equilibrium. In recent decades, land use and land cover changes, driven by various factors, have led to unprecedented degradation of ecosystems, particularly in peri-urban areas. The primary aim of this study is to assess land use changes with an emphasis on the peri-urban garden cities of Zanjan over the period from 1993 to 2023. This research utilizes satellite imagery from Landsat 5, 8, and 9 across the 30-year period and applies the fuzzy supervised classification method to categorize the satellite images. The results indicate that the highest growth in built-up areas occurred between 2003–2013, followed by a slowdown in recent years. Gardens initially expanded but began to decline from 2013 onward. Similarly, water resources and agricultural lands, after experiencing a period of decline, showed improvement by 2023. In contrast, rangelands exhibited a continuous downward trend. This study emphasizes the importance of ensuring the sustainability of peri-urban garden cities in Zanjan and recommends the adoption of entrepreneurial approaches to promote urban agriculture sustainability. The findings highlight that precise land use policies and management for garden cities around Zanjan can prevent irregular development and foster spatial equilibrium.<strong>تغییرات کاربری و پوشش زمین تحت تأثیر عوامل مختلفی در دهههای اخیر با شدت و گستردگی بیسابقهای منجر به تخریب اکوسیستمها بهویژه در نواحی پیراشهری شده است. هدف اصلی این پژوهش بررسی تغییرات کاربری اراضی پیراشهری زنجان با تأکید بر باغ شهرها در سه دهه اخیر بود. پژوهش حاضر ازنظر روش تحقیق، توصیفی–تحلیلی و از نوع تحقیقات کاربردی است که با تکیهبر تصاویر ماهوارهای لندست 5، 8 و 9 در بازه زمانی 30 ساله از سال 1372 تا 1402 میباشد. برای طبقهبندی تصاویر ماهوارهای از روش طبقهبندی نظارتشده فازی استفادهشده است. نتایج نشان داد بیشترین رشد اراضی ساختهشده در فاصله سالهای 1382 تا 1392 با 1193 هکتار رخداده و در سالهای اخیر روند آن کندتر شده است. باغات ابتدا افزایش و سپس از سال 1392 کاهشیافتهاند. همچنین، منابع آبی و اراضی کشاورزی پس از یک دوره افت، در سال 1402 بهبودیافتهاند. در مقابل، مراتع یکروند مستمر کاهشی داشته است. این پژوهش بر اهمیت پایداری اراضی باغ شهرهای پیراشهری شهر زنجان تأکید دارد و لزوم استفاده از رویکردهای کارآفرینانه جهت پایداری در کشاورزی شهری پیشنهاد میکند. یافتهها نشان میدهد که سیاستگذاری و مدیریت دقیق کاربری اراضی باغ شهرها در پیرامون شهر زنجان میتواند از توسعه نامنظم جلوگیری کرده و تعادل فضایی ایجاد کند.</strong>https://www.jpusd.ir/article_209463_3e1535ba6c63b5bc159524a1df6c3e6d.pdf